Saturday, August 1, 2009

Health Care Reform: Rise up, Mr. Obama. This is your Man-on-the-Moon Moment.


Many reforms in health care are needed, but the proposed legislation doesn’t address them. For example, the argument that the so-called public option will increase competition is totally false. Employers are justifiably tired of paying ever-increasing insurance premiums for their employees. When the public option becomes available, many firms will simply decide to give their employees a raise to cover the cost of the public option, and then they’ll cancel their company-sponsored plans. That way, they can convert their medical benefits expense to salaries expense, which is much easier to control (i.e., salaries increase at about the rate of inflation, whereas medical premiums have been rising at two to three times that). Once that happens, you’ll then have most Americans on a bare-bones Medicare-type program, with no options and no industry competition. The insurance carriers currently battle it out against each other every day. They do what they can to keep costs down, but they can only do so much to control the medical and pharmaceutical industries. With whom do government agencies like the Social Security Administration, the IRS, and Veterans’ Affairs compete? No one, and they don’t exactly set any standards for efficiency and customer service, do they? It will be the same with whatever new agency ends up running health care.

The health care industry represents 16% of our economy. It employs millions, and it touches every one of us. There is no simple, quick fix for this problem. Bringing health care costs under control is going to take a tremendous amount of collaborative work by the insurance, medical, pharmaceutical, and technology industries. This undertaking is far bigger than the Apollo project, for example, and that project could have never been accomplished without industry doing most of the work. As it did with Apollo, government (NASA, in that case) should play a facilitation role in health care reform, but it should not attempt to become the industry itself. It doesn’t have the technical or managerial skill, nor could it ever put the incentives in place to ensure that the system would be able to actually improve service while also driving costs down, which should be the ultimate goal. The current dialogue in Washington never makes mention of that, which is frightening and disappointing in its lack of ambition. Our politicians are content with the notion of serving more people, but serving them poorly in order to do it (all but themselves, that is). Well, I’m not.

Mr. Obama should use his estimable leadership skills to unify the efforts of these various industries, rather than trying to put them out of business or under some type of Soviet-like control. A sharp bureaucrat can always muscle some kind of ineffective legislation into place (e.g., the stimulus bill), but a real leader inspires the public to raise its ambitions and strive to take on new challenges. President Kennedy inspired the nation to put a man on the moon within 10 years. I’d like to see President Obama do something similar with health care reform. He has the vision and the charisma. He just needs to do it. That's what voters really wanted from him anyway, not bureaucratic quick fixes.

Mr. Obama, don’t deny Americans the opportunity to be Americans. Tackling problems head-on and developing world-class solutions is what we do. Yes we can, remember?

Sunday, July 19, 2009

Beware of the "Global Warming Industrial Complex"

How's that for a new term?! I just heard it yesterday. (For younger readers, that's a takeoff on Eisenhower's term, the military industrial complex.)

Is global warming a problem? Probably. Has it been overblown? Probably. One thing is for sure, though, it has now become very big business -- a new expense for some businesses and a huge money-making opportunity for others -- and once something becomes big business, there simply becomes too much temptation to manipulate the facts.

Members of the global warming industrial complex (e.g., Goldman Sachs, GE, alternative energy producers) have been lobbying hard for cap-and-trade, and it has been easy for our politicians to fall in line in support of it. After all, the public has been worked into a panic about it, and what politician wants to appear to be politically incorrect, especially when climate change is so popular with the hip and influential?

I'm not saying that we shouldn't do anything about climate change. Rather, I'm asking, are we sure we've really done enough homework to ensure that an elaborate scheme of trading carbon credits -- in which polluters get to keep polluting as long as they have enough money to do so -- is the real answer to the problem? Besides, if the answer is a system in which Goldman Sachs is allowed to shave a profit off of every transaction, I'm going to be suspicious from the get-go anyway. It just smells fishy.

In recent times, we've seen one poorly structured scheme after another that has backfired on the public, whether it was Enron being allowed to dominate the energy markets, or the attempts to create an "ownership society" by lowering standards at Fannie Mae and flooding them with too much money, or the lack of regulation over securitized home mortgages and derivatives, or poor regulation of the IPO-ing of internet companies, or no regulation of hedge funds (that manipulate the markets), etc., etc. The simple truth is that our government doesn't have the discipline and objectivity to think scenarios all the way through; i.e., to contemplate possible negative outcomes as well as positive ones. They don't model the unintended consequences, which is an essential skill that any good businessperson tries to learn. Furthermore, they don't have the integrity to say, "Let's stop and rethink this" when they discover that they're wrong. Instead, they simply work the numbers so they can justify the case they're trying to make, and then they ram their legislation into place as quickly as possible. (...and we've come to learn that few bills are even read before voted on!) They can get away with making expensive mistakes because they have the taxpayer and deficit spending to fall back on. If a businessperson makes the same mistake, he's bankrupt (unless, of course, his business is too big to fail). The bottom line: I fear that we are rushing head-long into another poorly structured scheme that will not address the problem, that will burden the public with yet more expense that it cannot afford, and that will line the pockets of the well-connected and corrupt.

The military industrial complex panicked us into an over-blown fear of the communist threat in the '50s and '60s. The result was massive, wasteful defense spending and a war in Vietnam that cost over 50,000 U.S. lives, and well over a million lives of our supposed enemy. Now, the global warming industrial complex, with the full buy-in of our eager-to-be-loved president, is pushing us towards a "solution" that will line their pockets, add an enormous expense to every family in the country, do nothing regarding other countries' responsibilities re climate change standards, and supposedly reduce temperatures by only .2 degrees by the year 2100. I've spent my entire career being a problem solver, and it just seems to me, based on the outcomes in this deal, that people haven't spent enough time working on the potential solutions. Ditto for healthcare reform, but that's another story.

Simply put, we need to demand more rigorous work and a higher level of professional integrity from our politicians. Furthermore, we need to maintain a healthy skepticism about everything our government proposes. Don't we have enough evidence that we need to?

Saturday, July 18, 2009

Goldman Sachs Goes Green... In More Ways than One

Hmm... Are we seeing a pattern yet?

1) Goldman Sachs conspires with our government officials to create a panic over a real or imagined problem.

2) Current or former senior officers of Goldman are put in charge of the problem.

3) It is determined that only Goldman Sachs is qualified to handle whatever the fix is for the problem, and it is given a preferential role in all related money-making opportunities.


Related article:

Goldman Sachs to be carbon regulator?

July 8, 2009

Sens. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) and Olympia Snow (RINO-ME) have introduced a bill to make the Commodity Futures Trading Commission the sole regulator of the carbon market created by cap-and-trade legislation.

So does this mean that freebooting Goldman Sachs could be the de facto regulator of the carbon market?

Consider that:

  • The current chairman of the CFTC is Gary Gensler, formerly of Goldman Sachs.
  • Goldman Sachs is a part owner of the exchanges where carbon allowances would be traded.
  • Goldman Sachs has spent millions of dollars lobbying for cap-and-trade legislation in anticipation of making billions of dollars at the expense taxpayers and consumers.
  • Goldman has a special exemption from the CFTC to exceed the trading limits normally placed on commodity speculators. Not only was this exemption secret for 17 years, the CFTC recently had to ask Goldman for permission to release the letter to Congress!
  • Goldman Sachs employees are heavy contributors to the Democratic Party giving it over $4.4. million in the last election. Barack Obama received more than $997,000, Feinstein received $24,250, and Snowe received $17,000 from Goldman. All-in-all, this could result in a pretty decent return-on-investment for Goldman.

As the global warming bubble inflates and then bursts, will Goldman Sachs self-regulate all the way to the bank… making record profits at the expense and misery of taxpayers and consumers?

Can you tell the difference between the CFTC and Goldman Sachs?

Gary Gensler, CFTC Chairman

Gary Gensler, CFTC Chairman

Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs Chairman

Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs Chairman

Rolling Stone's Matt Taibbi Speaks About Goldman Bonuses

More on the corruption surrounding Goldman Sachs. Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone has been doing a good job following all of this. Here's a link to the article referenced in the video.

Is Obama on Goldman's Payroll?

I've spent most of my career working in the financial services industry, and I have never seen the kind of corrupt shenanigans that are going on today. Washington is absolutely in Wall Street's hip pocket. Yes, today, on the heels of a near collapse in the economy. The gentleman in this video provides a very lucid analysis of what's going on.

Goldman Sachs' Tentacles Reaching into Government

Here's a very clear presentation on how Goldman Sachs has woven its way into the fabric of our government. Is it any surprise that they are able to virtually print money?

Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Inside the Great American Bubble Machine


This is a must-read article about Goldman Sachs' abuses from Matt Taibbi at Rolling Stone.

Click here for related article.